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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • There even isn’t much panic about being caught on the street to be conscripted

    Because Russia hasn’t mobilized besides the “partial mobilization” in 2022. The question is why. One theory is that they don’t need to. The other theory is that they can’t. I live in the US and remember the Iraq war. In 2004 one of the biggest things going around was that Bush was going to start conscription.

    But if he were to have attempted mobilization the support for the war in the US would have instantly collapsed so instead he tried various things to fill the ranks like using mercenaries, “backdoor drafts” via stoploss, activating national guard, etc. And in the end, let’s be honest, the US lost both of Bush’s wars.


  • It’s easy to look at the side of a war of attrition where you have more information and say that they’re losing because you don’t have as much information on the other side. Russia has every reason to present itself as still having massive reserves to call upon because it helps their case.

    Many people thought that Germany was on the cusp of winning WWI during the spring offensive in 1918.

    That being said I think Ukraine’s situation isn’t great. I was surprised at the seeming depth of the Russia’s reserves. They have been sustaining incredible losses for the last year almost, and yet continue to advance. During previous phases of the war we saw them overextend themselves and then have to retreat against Ukrainian advances.

    Russia’s reserves are finite both in terms of manpower and equipment. They are demonstrating strain in both categories and will presumably start to have sustainment issues soon. If Ukraine can hold together and stop the advance then presumably the next phase would be a negotiated peace hopefully. There’s always a chance that some shoe could drop though. Putin could die or get overthrown, the west could withdraw all support, China could start providing blank-check support to Russia, Russia could successfully go into full-mobilization mode.



  • anachronist@midwest.socialtoMemes@lemmy.mlCan't unsee
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    6 months ago

    The wedge already exists. The Trump people started leaking that Elon is a seagull less than 3 days after the election. The problem is that Elon paid for Trump’s victory and he’s continuing to throw money around. Trump knows this and it’s why he keeps appointing Elon’s goons to the administration (beginning with JD Vance and continuing with David Sachs and all the other VC).





  • anachronist@midwest.socialtoMemes@lemmy.mlFREE LUIGI
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    7 months ago

    TBH I think it was always clear that he was going to be at least somewhat right-coded given that he was so competent with firearms.

    I personally don’t care what he thinks about pronouns or whatever, unlike Rittenhouse or that subway guy he actually went after one of America’s true villains. The right wing violence in this country finally found a legitimate target.