Summary
South Korea’s birth rate is projected to rise in 2024 for the first time in nine years, driven by a 13.5% rebound in marriages in 2023, delayed due to the pandemic.
The country, with the world’s lowest fertility rate (0.72 in 2023), recorded a 3% increase in newborns (January–November 2024).
High cultural correlation between marriage and childbirth contributes to the trend.
Arresting presidents makes people want to fuck.
What happened to that 4B movement?
Maybe this is just stats before 4B started? We might see it decline again in couple of years from now after 4B take effect?
I don’t think it’s big enough to have a noticeable impact. It’s estimated to be between 5000 and 50,000 people strong. South Korea had an estimated population of 51,430,018 in 2023. That would make between 0.0097% and 0.097% of their population a part of 4B. So a tiny fraction of the population might have gone from a fertility rate of 0.72 to 0. That’s between 3600 and 36,000 fewer kids.
When I tried to find out how many people were a part of the movement several sources had old estimates because the movement has supposedly almost died out in South Korea. So it might be even less that 3600.
I wonder what caused the increase. Some changes in the working laws? Better financial stability? Or even something more negative, like fewer options for young women?
(Though with rising costs, they’d still probably need to find men with very high paying jobs…)
The second half of the article mostly talks about delayed marriages after the pandemic (since folks don’t want to have kids outside of marriage), and financial incentives. Hard to be sure if they’re really the reason and if the bump isn’t just from a backlog of marriages they were catching up on, as implied.
Maybe someone met her at the APT, APT enough times?
