• madsen@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago
    so it’s probably just some points assigned for the answers and maybe some simple arithmetic.
    

    Why yes, that’s all that machine learning is, a bunch of statistics :)

    I know, but that’s not what I meant. I mean literally something as simple and mundane as assigning points per answer and evaluating the final score:

    // Pseudo code
    risk = 0
    if (Q1 == true) {
        risk += 20
    }
    if (Q2 == true) {
        risk += 10
    }
    // etc...
    // Maybe throw in a bit of
    if (Q28 == true) {
        if (Q22 == true and Q23 == true) {
            risk *= 1.5
        } else {
            risk += 10
        }
    }
    
    // And finally, evaluate the risk:
    if (risk < 10) {
        return "negligible"
    } else if (risk >= 10 and risk < 40) {
        return "low risk"
    }
    // etc... You get the picture.
    

    And yes, I know I can just write if (Q1) {, but I wanted to make it a bit more accessible for non-programmers.

    The article gives absolutely no reason for us to assume it’s anything more than that, and I apparently missed the part of the article that mentioned that the system had been in use since 2007. I know we had machine learning too back then, but looking at the project description here: https://eucpn.org/sites/default/files/document/files/Buena practica VIOGEN_0.pdf it looks more like they looked at a bunch of cases (2159) and came up with the 35 questions and a scoring system not unlike what I just described above.

    Edit: I managed to find this, which has apparently been taken down since (but thanks to archive.org it’s still available): https://web.archive.org/web/20240227072357/https://eticasfoundation.org/gender/the-external-audit-of-the-viogen-system/

    VioGén’s algorithm uses classical statistical models to perform a risk evaluation based on the weighted sum of all the responses according to pre-set weights for each variable. It is designed as a recommendation system but, even though the police officers are able to increase the automatically assigned risk score, they maintain it in 95% of the cases.

    … which incidentally matches what the article says (that police maintain the VioGen risk score in 95% of the cases).